NFL WEEK 14: INSIDE THE NUMBERS

BRONCOS VS. PANTHERS

  • The Broncos and Panthers met in Super Bowl 50 (2015 season) and again in Week 1 of 2016, with Denver winning both games (24-10 in SB 50 and 21-20 in 2016). Since the start of the 2016 season, the Broncos have gone 31-45 and have not made the playoffs, while the Panthers have gone 33-43 with one playoff appearance (2017 — lost in Wild Card round).
  • The Broncos fell to the Chiefs, 22-16, in Kansas City in Week 13. One more loss (or tie) this season would doom Denver to its fourth consecutive losing season. Denver has not had back-to-back losing seasons at any point from 1972 to 2017.
  • The Panthers lost to the Vikings, 28-27, on the road in Week 12 before their bye week. Carolina has a takeaway in 11 straight games despite having just five interceptions this season. The Panthers have recovered an NFL-high 12 of their opponents 16 fumbles in 2020 (75.0 percent).
  • Teddy Bridgewater has completed 70.2 percent of his passes this season, second best in the NFL behind Drew Brees (NO, 73.5) and on pace to be the best single-season mark in Panthers history. Drew Lock has completed 55.4 percent of his passes this season, worst in the NFL. The last Denver QB to finish a season with the worst completion percentage in the NFL was Tim Tebow in 2011 (all ranks among qualified QBs).
  • D.J. Moore, 924 receiving yards, and Robby Anderson, 912, have the third-most receiving yards by a teammate duo this season. With Curtis Samuel, 517 receiving yards, they have the second-most receiving yards by a teammate trio. (KC: Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman). The Panthers may be without Moore or Samuel or both this week as they have been put on the COVID/Reserve list.
  • Tim Patrick had his first career multi-touchdown day against the Chiefs, hauling in two TD catches. Patrick, undrafted in 2017 and signed by Denver in 2018, leads the Broncos with 607 receiving yards this season, one of two undrafted players leading their team in receiving yards (Damiere Byrd, NE — 518).

CHANCE OF WINNING:

PANTHERS: 63.7%

BRONCOS 36.3%

HOUSTON AT CHICAGO

  1. The Texans are 4-0 all-time against the Bears, making this one of four matchups between current NFL franchises in which one team is undefeated against the other (Eagles 11-0 vs. Jets, Vikings 5-0 vs. Texans, Eagles 5-0 vs. Texans).
  2. The Texans have allowed at least 350 total yards in 17 straight games, the longest streak by any team in the Super Bowl era.
  3. Deshaun Watson has 14,822 combined passing and rushing yards in 50 career games, the most by any player in NFL history over the first 50 games of his career.
  4. The Bears were 5-1 but have lost six straight to drop to 5-7. They will be looking to avoid joining the 1994 Eagles, 2012 Cardinals and 2018 Panthers as the only teams in NFL history to be 4+ games over .500 and then lose seven straight.
  5. The Bears have scored 46.3 percent of their points this season in the fourth quarter, on pace to be the highest percentage by any team since the 1997 Bills (49.0).
  6. Allen Robinson II has had a 20+ yard catch in 10 straight games, the longest streak by a Bears player since Jeff Graham had a 10-game streak in 1995.

CHANCE OF WINNING:

CHICAGO 55.9%

HOUSTON 44.1%

DALLAS AT CINCINNATI

  1. The Cowboys have won eight of 12 all-time meetings with the Bengals, including each of the last three. They’ve scored at least 20 points in 11 of those 12 games, with the lone exception being a 26-3 loss in Week 9, 2004, Cincinnati’s last win over Dallas. The Bengals are 3-2 at home versus the Cowboys all-time.
  2. The Cowboys lost in Baltimore, 34-17, on Tuesday night, dropping to 3-9 this season, tied for their fourth-worst 12-game start ever, and worst since 1989 (1-11). The 294 rushing yards they allowed on Tuesday were their second most this season (307 against Cleveland in Week 4).
  3. The Bengals lost to the Dolphins, 19-7, in Miami on Sunday, their fourth straight defeat. Cincinnati has a 2-3 record and a +11 point differential at home this season, compared to a 0-6-1 record with a -82 point differential on the road.
  4. Michael Gallup was targeted a team-high 11 times against Baltimore, and hauled in seven catches for 86 yards and a touchdown. The seven catches were tied for the second most in his career, and his six first downs were his second most in a game (Week 11, 2019 at Detroit — nine catches, seven first downs).
  5. Tyler Boyd had just one catch in the loss to Miami, but it went for a 72-yard touchdown, the longest catch of his career. Boyd also attempted a pass on Sunday that fell incomplete, making him 1-for-2 this season and 1-for-3 in his career.
  6. The Bengals are averaging just 4.3 yards on first down this season, the worst mark in the league. They ranked 28th last season at 4.9 yards. Dallas ranks 19th this year at 5.5 yards per first down.

CHANCE OF WINNING

CINCINNATI 62.1%

DALLAS 37.9%

TENNESSEE AT JACKSONVILLE

  1. The Titans have won four of their five meetings with the Jaguars since the start of the 2018 season but have averaged just 8.0 points per game in Jacksonville during that time (1-1) compared to 35.0 points per game at home (3-0).
  2. Jacksonville put up a season-high 30 points in their Week 2 loss in Tennessee. It was their best offensive game of the season not just in terms of points, but also net yards (480) and rushing yards (165).
  3. At 8-4, the Titans are one win away from a fifth consecutive winning season. That would extend the fourth-longest active streak in the NFL (Patriots – 19; Seahawks – 8; Chiefs – 8 including 2020) and mark the second-longest streak in franchise history — the Oilers had seven straight winning seasons from 1987-1993.
  4. Corey Davis set career highs with 11 receptions and 182 receiving yards in last week’s loss to the Browns. His 11 catches were the most by a Titan since Kendall Wright had 12 on December 15, 2013, while his 182 yards were the most by a Titan since Kenny Britt had 225 yards on October 24, 2010.
  5. The Jaguars have allowed at least 24 points in 11 straight games (all losses) beginning with their Week 2 defeat to the Titans. A team has allowed 24 points in 12 straight games in a single season just twice in NFL history, the Browns in 2016 and the Packers in 1951.
  6. James Robinson has recorded at least 90 yards from scrimmage in six straight games, equalling the longest streak of the season, set by Alvin Kamara (NO) from Weeks 2-8. Robinson’s 1278 scrimmage yards this season are the fourth most by a rookie in Jaguars franchise history.

CHANCES OF WINNING:

TENNESSEE 61.2%

JACKSONVILLE 38.8%

KANSAS CITY AT MIAMI

  1. This matchup is a rematch of the longest game in NFL history, a Divisional Playoff on Christmas Day 1971 at Kansas City’s Municipal Stadium. It took just over five and a half quarters for the Dolphins to upset the Chiefs, 27-24. KC leads the all-time regular-season series, 14-13; Miami has swept three postseason meetings.
  2. The Chiefs, who enter with a seven-game winning streak, have five wins this season by double-digit margins, but their last four games have been close. Each has been decided by six points or fewer, and in three of them, Kansas City overcame halftime deficits to win.
  3. After allowing 62 points in dropping their first two home games, the Dolphins have won four straight at Hard Rock Stadium, yielding only 45 points. This is their longest home winning streak since a five-game run in 2016 — the last season in which they made the postseason.
  4. Patrick Mahomes’ streak of 22 consecutive games with a touchdown pass is the longest current streak in the league and the longest in franchise history. Mahomes’ run of five straight games with at least 300 passing yards is the NFL’s longest streak of 2020.
  5. Tua Tagovailoa’s streak of 136 consecutive passes without an interception is the longest ever by a Dolphin to begin a season. It is the longest streak by a rookie to begin a career since 2016, when the Cowboys’ Dak Prescott had no interceptions in his first 176 attempts.
  6. Patrick Mahomes has 31 touchdown passes and two interceptions this season, and his interception percentage of 0.43 would be third lowest in a qualifying season all-time. He faces a Miami defense that ranks second in the league with 21 takeaways, led by Xavien Howard’s league-high eight interceptions.

CHANCES OF WINNING:

MIAMI 51.1%

KANSAS CITY 48.9%

ARIZONA AT NY GIANTS

  1. The Cardinals allowed a season-high 38 points in their 38-28 loss to the Rams last week, their third straight defeat. Arizona is averaging 281.3 yards of offense during its losing streak, a figure which ranks 30th in the NFL since Week 11 after leading the NFL through Week 10 with 425.4 yards per game.
  2. Kyler Murray had three touchdown passes in the loss, giving him 22 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns this year. He is the third player in NFL history to have 20+ passing TD and 10+ rushing TD in a season, joining Cam Newton (twice; 2015 and 2011) and Kordell Stewart (1997).
  3. DeAndre Hopkins surpassed the 1000-yard mark for the season in the loss, his fourth straight 1000-yard campaign and the sixth of his career. He is the second player in franchise history to have 1000 receiving yards in his first season as a Cardinal, along with Anquan Boldin in 2003.
  4. The Giants’ 17-12 victory in Seattle last week was their fourth consecutive win, their longest win streak over the last four seasons. New York has allowed fewer than 20 points in each of its last three games — the last time it did that was in 2009.
  5. Wayne Gallman Jr. did not score a touchdown for the first time in six games but had a career-high 135 yards in the win. This season, he has 400 yards on 75 carries (5.3 yards per carry) on the road versus 104 yards on 34 carries (3.1 YPC) at home.
  6. The Giants are 80-45-2 (.639) all-time against the Cardinals, the third-best record for any team versus another in NFL history among matchups with at least 100 games played. Arizona has won three straight in the series overall and three straight matchups in New York.

CHANCES OF WINNING

ARIZONA 52.2%

NY GIANTS 47.8%

MINNESOTA AT TAMPA BAY

  1. The Vikings evened their record with a 27-24 overtime win over Jacksonville, their fifth win in six games. Minnesota had a season-high four takeaways in the win, giving the Vikings 11 in their last five contests after having six through their first seven games.
  2. Dalvin Cook had 120 rushing yards and 59 receiving yards in the win, giving him 1564 scrimmage yards for the year. He is the fourth player in team history to have consecutive seasons with 1500+ scrimmage yards, joining Adrian Peterson (2007-10), Ted Brown (1980-81) and Chuck Foreman (1975-76).
  3. Justin Jefferson had 121 receiving yards last week, surpassing the 1000-yard plateau for his career. The 12 games he needed to reach that figure are tied for the second fewest by any player in the Super Bowl era, along with Randy Moss, Anquan Boldin and Marques Colston (Odell Beckham Jr. — 11 games).
  4. The Buccaneers dropped their last two games prior to their bye last week, both by a score of 27-24. They allowed a season-high 543 yards in their Week 12 loss to the Chiefs, the most they have allowed in a regulation (non-overtime) home game in the last 35 years (since 1985).
  5. Rob Gronkowski had a season-high 106 yards in Week 12, his 29th career 100-yard game. That is the second-most 100-yard games ever by a tight end behind only Tony Gonzalez (31). Gronkowski is the fifth tight ever to have 10 seasons with 500+ receiving yards.
  6. After losing six straight against the Buccaneers, the Vikings have won the last two in this series. Minnesota lost six straight in Tampa between 1998-2008 before winning in overtime in their last visit in 2014. The Vikings are winless when facing Tom Brady, as he is 5-0 versus Minnesota in his career.

CHANCES OF WINNING

TAMPA BAY 68.5%

MINNESOTA 31.5%

INDIANAPOLIS AT LAS VEGAS

  1. The Raiders have won two of their last three meetings with the Colts, including a 31-24 road win last season. Seven of the teams’ nine meetings since 2000 have been decided by one possession.
  2. Indianapolis improved to 4-0 following a loss this season, holding on to beat the Texans, 26-20, in Houston last week. The Colts are 6-0 this season when allowing 21 points or fewer, compared to 2-4 when allowing 22 or more.
  3. Las Vegas is 7-5 despite allowing 28.9 points per game, 28th in the NFL. Only two other teams have had a winning record through 12 games while allowing that many points per game: the 1950 New York Yanks (7-5, 30.6 ppg) and the 2000 St. Louis Rams (8-4, 30.6 ppg).
  4. Philip Rivers will be making his 29th career start against the Raiders, breaking a tie with John Elway for the most all-time. Rivers has the most QB wins (18), completions (584), passing yards (7103) and touchdown passes (47) against the Raiders by any player all-time.
  5. Last week, Derek Carr had his ninth career game with 300+ passing yards and 3+ touchdown passes, tying Rich Gannon for the most such games in franchise history. Carr’s 22 TD passes this season are his most since 2017 (22), and he has eight TD passes and no interceptions in his career against the Colts.
  6. In last week’s win over the Jets, Darren Waller became just the fourth tight end in NFL history to tally 200+ receiving yards and 2+ receiving touchdowns in a game, joining Jackie Smith (1963), Rich Caster (1972) and Shannon Sharpe (2002).

CHANCES OF WINNING

LAS VEGAS 57%

INDIANAPOLIS 43%

NY JETS AT SEATTLE

  1. The Jets and Seahawks will meet for just the fourth time in the last 15 years, with Seattle winning each of the previous three by double digits. The last time the Jets won in Seattle was on August 31, 1997, a 41-3 win behind five touchdown passes by Neil O’Donnell.
  2. The Jets were unable to complete the comeback against the Raiders last week, scoring two fourth quarter touchdowns but allowing the game-winning TD with 0:05 remaining. New York is hoping to avoid becoming the 10th team ever to start a season 0-13 and first since the 2017 Browns (finished 0-16).
  3. The Seahawks fell to the Giants last week, 17-12, their first home loss of the season and lowest home point total since 2017 against the Rams (7 points). Seattle is averaging just 327.0 total net yards per game in their last four after ranking third in the NFL through Week 9 with 415.0 total yards per game.
  4. Ty Johnson rushed for 104 yards against Las Vegas, becoming the first Jets player with 100+ rushing yards since Isaiah Crowell on October 7, 2018. That snapped a streak of 38 straight games without a 100-yard rusher, the longest such streak in franchise history.
  5. Last week, DK Metcalf led the Seahawks with 80 receiving yards, putting him at 2019 yards for his career. He is the fastest player in Seahawks history to reach 2000 receiving yards, doing so in his 28th game.
  6. The Jets fired their defensive coordinator, Gregg Williams, as the Jets rank 30th in scoring defense (29.4) and 29th in total defense (398.8 YPG allowed). However, the Seahawks and their opponents have combined for 793.1 yards per game this season, most in the league.

CHANCES OF WINNING

SEATTLE 78.6%

NY JETS 21.4%

GREEN BAY AT DETROIT

  1. The Packers beat the Eagles last week, 30-16, their third straight game with 30 or more points and their league-leading ninth this season, two more than any other team. The franchise record for 30-point games in a single season in 11 in 2011.
  2. Aaron Rodgers had three touchdowns and no interceptions in the win, his eighth game this season with three or more TD passes and no interceptions. That is tied for the most such games in a single season all-time with himself in 2014 and Tom Brady in 2007.
  3. Aaron Jones had 130 rushing yards, including a career-long 77-yard run for a touchdown, the longest TD run by a Packer in the last 15 years. He surpassed 3000 career rushing yards in the win, becoming the fourth Packer in the Super Bowl era to reach that figure in 50 games or fewer.
  4. The Lions beat the Bears last week, 34-30, despite trailing by 10 points in the fourth quarter. It was the first time in six seasons that they came back to win when facing a double-digit fourth-quarter deficit and the first time in seven seasons that they won a game when allowing 30 or more points.
  5. Matthew Stafford had three touchdowns in the win, while also passing for a season-high 402 yards, his 10th career 400-yard game He is the seventh player in league history to have 10+ games with 400+ passing yards.
  6. The Packers have won three straight against the Lions, including a 42-21 victory in Week 2. That was Green Bay’s 101st all-time win versus Detroit, the third most for one team versus any single opponent in league history (Giants — 104 versus Washington; Bears — 102 versus Lions).

CHANCE OF WINNING

GREEN BAY 62.8%

DETROIT 37.2%

ATLANTA AT LA CHARGERS

  1. The Falcons lost to the Saints last week, 21-16, their 26th straight loss when scoring under 20 points. Atlanta is one of two teams with no wins when scoring under 20 points in the last five seasons, along with Cincinnati.
  2. Matt Ryan completed 19 of 39 pass attempts in the loss, his second game in the last nine seasons he completed less than half of his pass attempts (also Week 1, 2018). He has a 52.2 completion percentage over his last three games, the lowest mark among 29 players with 50+ pass attempts since Week 11.
  3. Calvin Ridley had 108 receiving yards, his fifth 100-yard game this year after having three total through his first two career seasons, and his first since Week 5. He and Keenan Allen are two of six players this year leading their teams outright (no ties) in receptions, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns.
  4. The Chargers suffered their largest loss in franchise history last week with a 45-0 defeat in New England. It marked the first time they were shut out over the last six seasons, while the 45 points are tied for the most they have allowed in the last 20 seasons.
  5. Justin Herbert failed to throw a touchdown pass for the first time in his career in the loss. He is the only first-year player in the Super Bowl era to throw at least one TD pass in each of his first 10 career games.
  6. The Falcons are 8-2 all-time versus the Chargers but lost the last meeting between these teams in 2016, 33-30, in overtime. Atlanta has never faced the Chargers in Los Angeles but is 6-0 all-time when facing the Chargers away from home.

CHANCE OF WINNING

ATLANTA 54.2%

LA CHARGERS 45.8%

NEW ORLEANS AT PHILADELPHIA

  1. New Orleans has won seven of the last nine games between those teams, with three of those wins coming in the postseason, including their last meeting in the 2018 Divisional Round. Prior to this run, Philadelphia had won six straight against the Saints.
  2. The Saints beat the Falcons, 21-16, in Atlanta on Sunday, extending their winning streak to nine games. It’s just the fourth time they’ve had such a streak in a single season (also 2018 — 10, 2009 — 13, 1987 — 9). They’ve allowed just 44 total points in their last five games.
  3. The Eagles fell to the Packers, 30-16, in Green Bay on Sunday, and have now lost four in a row for the first time since a five-game streak in 2016. This is the first time they’ve gone four straight games in a season without scoring more than 17 points since a four-game streak in 2004.
  4. Michael Thomas had nine catches for 105 yards on Sunday, his second 100-yard performance in his last three games (both against Atlanta). It was his 21st career 100-yard receiving game. Only Marques Colston (28) and Joe Horn (27) have more such games with the Saints.
  5. Jalen Hurts will make his first career start in this game. He came on in relief of Carson Wentz in the loss to Green Bay, going 5-for-12 for 109 yards, and also threw his first career touchdown and interception.
  6. The Saints have had just 139 passing plays that resulted in an incompletion, interception, sack, or tackle for loss this season, eight fewer than any other team in the NFL. The Eagles have had 253 such plays, 31 more than any team in the league.

CHANCE OF WINNING

NEW ORLEANS 64.1%

PHILADELPHIA 35.9%

WASHINGTON AT SAN FRANCISCO

  1. San Francisco has won five of the last six games between these teams, most recently getting a 9-0 win in Washington in Week 7 last season. Including the postseason, Washington is 3-12-1 all-time in road games versus San Francisco, most recently getting a win in Week 15, 2004.
  2. Washington has won three straight games following a 2-7 start, its first three-game winning streak since Weeks 6-8, 2018. With a win over Pittsburgh on Monday, Washington became the first team in NFL history with a losing record to win a road game against a team with an 11-0 or better record.
  3. The 49ers fell to the Bills, 34-24, as the home team in Arizona on Monday night, their fourth loss in their last five games. It was the fourth time this season they’ve reached 400 yards of offense (402) — they’re 2-2 in those games. They were a perfect 6-0 in such games last season.
  4. Alex Smith had four completions of at least 25 yards in the win over Pittsburgh, and now has 12 such completions over his last five games. In his previous 11 games dating back to Week 1 of the 2018 season, he had just nine.
  5. Rookie receiver Brandon Aiyuk had five catches for 95 yards against Buffalo, his first game since Week 10 (COVID). In his last four games, he’s averaged 6.5 catches and 94.0 yards. In his first five games, he averaged 2.8 catches and 33.0 yards.
  6. Both of these teams have benefited from yards after the catch this season. San Francisco’s 1809 total YAC this season ranks third in the NFL and second in the NFC (Rams, 1915), while Washington ranks sixth in the NFL and third in the NFC with 1715.

CHANCE OF WINNING

SAN FRANCISCO 60.4%

WASHINGTON 39.6%

PITTSBURGH AT BUFFALO

  1. The Steelers have won 10 of the last 12 games between these teams (including postseason), but the Bills got a 17-10 win in Week 15 last season, their first win over Pittsburgh since 1999. Pittsburgh won its first two games in Buffalo in 1972 and 1978, then lost seven straight from 1980-1999 before winning the last four.
  2. Pittsburgh’s quest for a perfect season ended with a 23-17 loss at home against Washington on Monday. The Steelers have now scored fewer than 20 points in consecutive weeks after scoring at least 24 in each of their first 10 games. They haven’t done so in three straight started by Ben Roethlisberger since Weeks 6-8, 2013.
  3. The Bills beat the 49ers, 34-24, on the road on Monday, the sixth time this season they’ve reached at least 30 points. That’s already tied for their most in a full season since they had seven such games in 2004 (also six in 2016). The franchise record is nine 30-point games.
  4. Anthony McFarland Jr. finished as Pittsburgh’s leading rusher against Washington with 15 yards, and the team only had 21 total rushing yards. It was their fewest since they had 19 against Baltimore in Week 4, 2018, and just the seventh time since 1950 they’ve had 21 or fewer (1-6 in those games).
  5. Josh Allen threw for 375 yards and four touchdowns against the Niners, his third game this season with at least 300 yards and four touchdowns, the most ever in a single season by a Bills quarterback. Only two other players have had at least three such games in their Bills careers — Jim Kelly (4) and Ryan Fitzpatrick (3).
  6. Both teams have done most of their damage this season in the first half — Pittsburgh’s +84 point differential in the first two quarters ranks second in the league (Green Bay, +98), while Buffalo ranks fifth at +72.

CHANCES OF WINNING

PITTSBURGH 54.4

BUFFALO 45.6

BALTIMORE AT CLEVELAND

  1. The Ravens have taken eight of the last 10 meetings against the Browns, including a 38-6 victory in Baltimore in Week 1 this season. The Ravens are also 10-2 in their last 12 trips to Cleveland, most recently claiming a 31-15 win in Week 16 last season.
  2. Baltimore defeated Dallas, 34-17, on Tuesday, rushing for 294 yards in the win. It was the fourth most rushing yards in franchise history and the second time in three seasons the Ravens have tallied 290+ rushing yards (also December 30, 2018 vs. Cleveland) — they had done so just three times in their first 22 seasons.
  3. Gus Edwards (101 yards), Lamar Jackson (94) and J.K. Dobbins (71) all rushed for 70+ yards in Tuesday’s win, just the second time in franchise history the Ravens have had three players rush for 70+ yards (also December 30, 2018 vs. Browns). It’s the second time this season any team has done so — the Browns themselves also did so in Week 4, also against the Cowboys (Beckham Jr., Hunt, Johnson).
  4. Cleveland downed Tennessee, 41-35, for its fourth straight victory — the second time the Browns have won four in a row this season. The Browns are seeking their first five-game win streak since taking five straight from September 18 to October 23, 1994 — every other team has at least three such streaks since then.
  5. Baker Mayfield threw four touchdowns and no interceptions in the win over Tennessee and enters Week 14 without an interception in 156 attempts — two shy of Drew Brees for the longest active streak in the NFL. He now has 70 career passing touchdowns in 42 career games, becoming the fastest Browns passer to reach 70 career touchdowns — Otto Graham is the next-fastest, doing so in 52 games.
  6. Nick Chubb is averaging 6.01 yards per carry, second in the NFL behind only Arizona’s Kyler Murray (6.52; min. 100 carries). Meanwhile, Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson ranks third with 5.77 yards per carry, while Gu

CHANCES OF WINNING

BALTIMORE 61.2%

CLEVELAND 38.8%