As you know the boys state tournament begins next week. The biggest complaint I hear from fans every season is the antiquated “blind draw”. Too many good teams are being eliminated in the opening round of the sectional because the “blind draw” gives teams with bad records a chance to get a bye and two very good teams may play in the first round. Well, let’s change things up a bit and attempt to seed the teams instead of punishing teams that have had a good regular season. Besides, aren’t we supposed to reward the teams that have done the best in the regular season by giving them a chance to play for a sectional title and beyond? Can you imagine the NCAA tournament going with a blind draw? I am sure Tennessee and Kentucky or Gonzaga and Duke would love to square off in the first round while Vermont and Northern Kentucky play in the other bracket.

So, with the help of the SAGARIN RATING SYSTEM and the teams’ overall record, we have a formula for seeding (just play along). We took four rankings and the overall records (winning %). With six teams in the sectional, each team was rewarded 6 points for the best ranking, 5 for second and so on. If teams have the same record, we can go to head-to-head match-ups during the season. If we needed another tie-breaker, we went with average margin of victory (and I am sure we can find more tie-breakers, but let’s don’t muddy the waters). I know the Indiana high school basketball purists are having a fit now, but try to keep your blood pressure down and just have some fun with it.

I decided to use the two closet sectionals to Richmond…Richmond and Hagerstown. Here’s is what the NEW pairings would look like with our formula and the SAGARIN RATINGS (this is without this week’s final games):

 

AT RICHMOND SECTIONAL

SAGARIN OVERALL RATING

1 New Palestine                              78.49

2 Connersville                                  77.28

3 Mt. Vernon                                    75.34

4 Pendleton Heights                       72.86

5 Richmond                                      72.42

6 Greenfield Central                       62.41

 

OVERALL RECORDS

1 Connersville                                  15-8       .652

2 New Palestine                               13-8       .619

3 Richmond                                      10-13     .435

4 Mt. Vernon                                    8-11       .421

5 Pendleton Heights                       7-15       .318

6 Greenfield Central                       4-18       .181

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE RANK

1 Mt. Vernon                                    79.65

2 Pendleton Heights                       77.93

3 New Palestine                               75.26

4 Richmond                                      74.21

5 Connersville                                  73.11

6 Greenfield Central                       72.04

 

RECENT RATING

1 Connersville                                  79.39

2 New Palestine                               76.47

3 Mt. Vernon                                    68.50

4 Pendleton Heights                       67.96

5 Richmond                                      67.80

6 Greenfield Central                       60.77

 

GOLDEN MEAN RANK

1 New Palestine                               79.25

2 Connersville                                  77.65

3 Mt. Vernon                                    76.00

4 Richmond                                      72.32

5 Pendleton Heights                       72.05

6 Greenfield Central                       60.83

 

FINAL SEEDING

1 New Palestine                               26 points

2 Connersville                                  24

3 Mount Vernon                              21

4 Pendleton Heights                       15

5 Richmond                                      14

6 Greenfield Central                       5

 

REVISED SECTIONAL PAIRINGS

Game 1…#4 Pendleton Heights vs. #5 Richmond

Game 2…#3 Mt. Vernon vs. #6 Greenfield Central

Game 3…#1 New Palestine vs. PH vs. RHS Winner

Game 4…#2 Connersville vs. Mt. Vernon vs. GC Winner

Game 5…Championship

 

 

AT HAGERSTOWN SECTIONAL

SAGARIN OVERALL RANKING

Northeastern                                    64.46

Union County                                   59.48

Hagerstown                                      54.69

Winchester                                       53.31

Lincoln                                               40.54

Centerville                                         39.37

 

OVERALL RECORDS

1 Northeastern                                13 – 7    .650

2 Union County                               12 – 9    .571

3 Winchester                                    10 – 10 .500

4 Hagerstown                                  10 – 11  .476

5 Lincoln                                            6 – 13    .316

6 Centerville                                     5 – 15    .333

 

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE

1 Union County                               56.40

2 Winchester                                    55.01

3 Hagerstown                                  54.96

4 Northeastern                                54.72

5 Centerville                                     53.26

6 Lincoln                                            48.61

 

RECENT RATING

1 Northeastern                                66.99

2 Union County                               56.35

3 Hagerstown                                  54.44

4 Winchester                                    51.97

5 Centerville                                     39.86

6 Lincoln                                            38.68

 

GOLDEN MEAN RATING

1 Northeastern                                62.67

2 Union County                               59.89

3 Hagerstown                                  54.34

4 Winchester                                    53.24

5 Lincoln                                            40.21

6 Centerville                                     39.70

 

FINAL SEEDING

1 Union County                               26 points

2 Northeastern                                21

3 Hagerstown                                  19

4 Winchester                                    18

5 Lincoln                                            8

6 Centerville                                     7

 

REVISED SECTIONAL PAIRINGS

Game 1…#4 Winchester vs. #5 Lincoln

Game 2…#3 Hagerstown vs. #6 Centerville

Game 3…#1 Union County vs. Winchester – Lincoln winner

Game 4…#2 Northeastern vs. Hagerstown – Centerville winner

Game  5…Championship

 

By the way, the entire tourney can be seeded…if we use some imagination.